Why You Should Forget About the Dow Reaching 20,000

There is a growing fascination with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) reaching 20,000. The index has never reached that level, and there’s an ongoing narrative that reaching and eclipsing that number is a big deal. The emergence of this narrative isn’t surprising – humans have an affable obsession with landmarks and anniversaries, so of […]

Negative Earnings – Should You Be Worried?

Earnings posed a legitimate headline risk in the second quarter: total earnings for S&P 500 companies were down -2.1% from the same period last year on -3.4% lower revenues. Yikes. And, that’s coming off a weak first quarter when earnings basically flat-lined nudging only +0.8% higher. Current expectations are that earnings will be negative in […]

Bargain Hunting for Stocks

The market’s recent flare-up – or flare-‘down’ – has created three camps in the investor community: those who have turned bearish, those who have become nervous enough to reduce their equity exposure, and those who remain bullish over the longer term and see this as an opportunity. I’m in the last camp. And, I’m writing […]

Market Volatility – Like 2008 or 1998?

If you’re nervous about where the market is headed (after enduring two eyebrow-raising weeks of pronounced volatility) then guess what – you’re normal. Human nature is to fear losses, and memory of the 2008 bear market still lingers. Nobel Prize-winning psychologist Daniel Kahneman discovered that investors dislike losses roughly twice as much as they enjoy […]

Small Caps – Wisdom or Wasted Opportunity in an Aging Bull Market?

There’s “conventional wisdom” out there that as a bull market matures, large cap stocks tend to become the outperformers. According to this thinking, investors tend to shift investments to companies with well-established revenue sources, market penetration, and huge stockpiles of cash as a bull market ages. In theory, and for the most part in practice, […]