Use Caution When Shifting Your Strategy to the “New Economy”

The epicenter of the economic crisis has largely been in services, severely bruising industries like retail, hospitality, travel, food services, and airlines. As these areas of the economy struggle to survive, many technology companies have been thriving. The economy has been steadily evolving into ‘digital everything,’ and companies that build and/or service the digital infrastructure […]

Why is Market Volatility Increasing?

Volatility persists in the global stock market, but the media narratives haven’t changed much – it’s still, “fears of global slowdown, rising interest rates, flattening yield curve, and trade war with China” being most commonly cited as drivers of the selling pressure. These factors are driving uncertainty, but I’m still not convinced they are powerful […]

How to Navigate a Market at All-Time Highs

Economic data is arguably firing on all cylinders: • For the first time in ten years, the GDP growth rate is higher than the unemployment rate[1]; • The August edition of the Institute for Supply Management manufacturing index showed the strongest expansion of manufacturing activity since May 2004;[2] • The Conference Board gauge of consumer […]

Bull Market’s 9th Birthday, but is it Too Soon to Celebrate?

On March 9, 2009, the S&P 500 hit its low point for the treacherous bear market of 2008, which was spurred by the global financial crisis. The index bottomed out at 676.53.1 Today, the S&P 500 trades at over 2,500, with total gains off-the-bottom approaching +250%. As I write this column, however, I cannot actually […]

The Next Bear Market Will Come Without Warning

March 9th marked the nine-year anniversary of this bull market, which now stands as the second longest bull market in history (the 1990 – 2000 bull market is the longest) according to Strategas Research. Using history as a guide, we know that bull markets do not last forever. Stocks are likely destined to decline materially […]